/root/bitcoin/src/policy/fees.h
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1 | | // Copyright (c) 2009-2010 Satoshi Nakamoto |
2 | | // Copyright (c) 2009-2022 The Bitcoin Core developers |
3 | | // Distributed under the MIT software license, see the accompanying |
4 | | // file COPYING or http://www.opensource.org/licenses/mit-license.php. |
5 | | #ifndef BITCOIN_POLICY_FEES_H |
6 | | #define BITCOIN_POLICY_FEES_H |
7 | | |
8 | | #include <consensus/amount.h> |
9 | | #include <policy/feerate.h> |
10 | | #include <random.h> |
11 | | #include <sync.h> |
12 | | #include <threadsafety.h> |
13 | | #include <uint256.h> |
14 | | #include <util/fs.h> |
15 | | #include <validationinterface.h> |
16 | | |
17 | | #include <array> |
18 | | #include <chrono> |
19 | | #include <map> |
20 | | #include <memory> |
21 | | #include <set> |
22 | | #include <string> |
23 | | #include <vector> |
24 | | |
25 | | |
26 | | // How often to flush fee estimates to fee_estimates.dat. |
27 | | static constexpr std::chrono::hours FEE_FLUSH_INTERVAL{1}; |
28 | | |
29 | | /** fee_estimates.dat that are more than 60 hours (2.5 days) old will not be read, |
30 | | * as fee estimates are based on historical data and may be inaccurate if |
31 | | * network activity has changed. |
32 | | */ |
33 | | static constexpr std::chrono::hours MAX_FILE_AGE{60}; |
34 | | |
35 | | // Whether we allow importing a fee_estimates file older than MAX_FILE_AGE. |
36 | | static constexpr bool DEFAULT_ACCEPT_STALE_FEE_ESTIMATES{false}; |
37 | | |
38 | | class AutoFile; |
39 | | class TxConfirmStats; |
40 | | struct RemovedMempoolTransactionInfo; |
41 | | struct NewMempoolTransactionInfo; |
42 | | |
43 | | /* Identifier for each of the 3 different TxConfirmStats which will track |
44 | | * history over different time horizons. */ |
45 | | enum class FeeEstimateHorizon { |
46 | | SHORT_HALFLIFE, |
47 | | MED_HALFLIFE, |
48 | | LONG_HALFLIFE, |
49 | | }; |
50 | | |
51 | | static constexpr auto ALL_FEE_ESTIMATE_HORIZONS = std::array{ |
52 | | FeeEstimateHorizon::SHORT_HALFLIFE, |
53 | | FeeEstimateHorizon::MED_HALFLIFE, |
54 | | FeeEstimateHorizon::LONG_HALFLIFE, |
55 | | }; |
56 | | |
57 | | std::string StringForFeeEstimateHorizon(FeeEstimateHorizon horizon); |
58 | | |
59 | | /* Enumeration of reason for returned fee estimate */ |
60 | | enum class FeeReason { |
61 | | NONE, |
62 | | HALF_ESTIMATE, |
63 | | FULL_ESTIMATE, |
64 | | DOUBLE_ESTIMATE, |
65 | | CONSERVATIVE, |
66 | | MEMPOOL_MIN, |
67 | | PAYTXFEE, |
68 | | FALLBACK, |
69 | | REQUIRED, |
70 | | }; |
71 | | |
72 | | /* Used to return detailed information about a feerate bucket */ |
73 | | struct EstimatorBucket |
74 | | { |
75 | | double start = -1; |
76 | | double end = -1; |
77 | | double withinTarget = 0; |
78 | | double totalConfirmed = 0; |
79 | | double inMempool = 0; |
80 | | double leftMempool = 0; |
81 | | }; |
82 | | |
83 | | /* Used to return detailed information about a fee estimate calculation */ |
84 | | struct EstimationResult |
85 | | { |
86 | | EstimatorBucket pass; |
87 | | EstimatorBucket fail; |
88 | | double decay = 0; |
89 | | unsigned int scale = 0; |
90 | | }; |
91 | | |
92 | | struct FeeCalculation |
93 | | { |
94 | | EstimationResult est; |
95 | | FeeReason reason = FeeReason::NONE; |
96 | | int desiredTarget = 0; |
97 | | int returnedTarget = 0; |
98 | | }; |
99 | | |
100 | | /** \class CBlockPolicyEstimator |
101 | | * The BlockPolicyEstimator is used for estimating the feerate needed |
102 | | * for a transaction to be included in a block within a certain number of |
103 | | * blocks. |
104 | | * |
105 | | * At a high level the algorithm works by grouping transactions into buckets |
106 | | * based on having similar feerates and then tracking how long it |
107 | | * takes transactions in the various buckets to be mined. It operates under |
108 | | * the assumption that in general transactions of higher feerate will be |
109 | | * included in blocks before transactions of lower feerate. So for |
110 | | * example if you wanted to know what feerate you should put on a transaction to |
111 | | * be included in a block within the next 5 blocks, you would start by looking |
112 | | * at the bucket with the highest feerate transactions and verifying that a |
113 | | * sufficiently high percentage of them were confirmed within 5 blocks and |
114 | | * then you would look at the next highest feerate bucket, and so on, stopping at |
115 | | * the last bucket to pass the test. The average feerate of transactions in this |
116 | | * bucket will give you an indication of the lowest feerate you can put on a |
117 | | * transaction and still have a sufficiently high chance of being confirmed |
118 | | * within your desired 5 blocks. |
119 | | * |
120 | | * Here is a brief description of the implementation: |
121 | | * When a transaction enters the mempool, we track the height of the block chain |
122 | | * at entry. All further calculations are conducted only on this set of "seen" |
123 | | * transactions. Whenever a block comes in, we count the number of transactions |
124 | | * in each bucket and the total amount of feerate paid in each bucket. Then we |
125 | | * calculate how many blocks Y it took each transaction to be mined. We convert |
126 | | * from a number of blocks to a number of periods Y' each encompassing "scale" |
127 | | * blocks. This is tracked in 3 different data sets each up to a maximum |
128 | | * number of periods. Within each data set we have an array of counters in each |
129 | | * feerate bucket and we increment all the counters from Y' up to max periods |
130 | | * representing that a tx was successfully confirmed in less than or equal to |
131 | | * that many periods. We want to save a history of this information, so at any |
132 | | * time we have a counter of the total number of transactions that happened in a |
133 | | * given feerate bucket and the total number that were confirmed in each of the |
134 | | * periods or less for any bucket. We save this history by keeping an |
135 | | * exponentially decaying moving average of each one of these stats. This is |
136 | | * done for a different decay in each of the 3 data sets to keep relevant data |
137 | | * from different time horizons. Furthermore we also keep track of the number |
138 | | * unmined (in mempool or left mempool without being included in a block) |
139 | | * transactions in each bucket and for how many blocks they have been |
140 | | * outstanding and use both of these numbers to increase the number of transactions |
141 | | * we've seen in that feerate bucket when calculating an estimate for any number |
142 | | * of confirmations below the number of blocks they've been outstanding. |
143 | | * |
144 | | * We want to be able to estimate feerates that are needed on tx's to be included in |
145 | | * a certain number of blocks. Every time a block is added to the best chain, this class records |
146 | | * stats on the transactions included in that block |
147 | | */ |
148 | | class CBlockPolicyEstimator : public CValidationInterface |
149 | | { |
150 | | private: |
151 | | /** Track confirm delays up to 12 blocks for short horizon */ |
152 | | static constexpr unsigned int SHORT_BLOCK_PERIODS = 12; |
153 | | static constexpr unsigned int SHORT_SCALE = 1; |
154 | | /** Track confirm delays up to 48 blocks for medium horizon */ |
155 | | static constexpr unsigned int MED_BLOCK_PERIODS = 24; |
156 | | static constexpr unsigned int MED_SCALE = 2; |
157 | | /** Track confirm delays up to 1008 blocks for long horizon */ |
158 | | static constexpr unsigned int LONG_BLOCK_PERIODS = 42; |
159 | | static constexpr unsigned int LONG_SCALE = 24; |
160 | | /** Historical estimates that are older than this aren't valid */ |
161 | | static const unsigned int OLDEST_ESTIMATE_HISTORY = 6 * 1008; |
162 | | |
163 | | /** Decay of .962 is a half-life of 18 blocks or about 3 hours */ |
164 | | static constexpr double SHORT_DECAY = .962; |
165 | | /** Decay of .9952 is a half-life of 144 blocks or about 1 day */ |
166 | | static constexpr double MED_DECAY = .9952; |
167 | | /** Decay of .99931 is a half-life of 1008 blocks or about 1 week */ |
168 | | static constexpr double LONG_DECAY = .99931; |
169 | | |
170 | | /** Require greater than 60% of X feerate transactions to be confirmed within Y/2 blocks*/ |
171 | | static constexpr double HALF_SUCCESS_PCT = .6; |
172 | | /** Require greater than 85% of X feerate transactions to be confirmed within Y blocks*/ |
173 | | static constexpr double SUCCESS_PCT = .85; |
174 | | /** Require greater than 95% of X feerate transactions to be confirmed within 2 * Y blocks*/ |
175 | | static constexpr double DOUBLE_SUCCESS_PCT = .95; |
176 | | |
177 | | /** Require an avg of 0.1 tx in the combined feerate bucket per block to have stat significance */ |
178 | | static constexpr double SUFFICIENT_FEETXS = 0.1; |
179 | | /** Require an avg of 0.5 tx when using short decay since there are fewer blocks considered*/ |
180 | | static constexpr double SUFFICIENT_TXS_SHORT = 0.5; |
181 | | |
182 | | /** Minimum and Maximum values for tracking feerates |
183 | | * The MIN_BUCKET_FEERATE should just be set to the lowest reasonable feerate we |
184 | | * might ever want to track. Historically this has been 1000 since it was |
185 | | * inheriting DEFAULT_MIN_RELAY_TX_FEE and changing it is disruptive as it |
186 | | * invalidates old estimates files. So leave it at 1000 unless it becomes |
187 | | * necessary to lower it, and then lower it substantially. |
188 | | */ |
189 | | static constexpr double MIN_BUCKET_FEERATE = 1000; |
190 | | static constexpr double MAX_BUCKET_FEERATE = 1e7; |
191 | | |
192 | | /** Spacing of FeeRate buckets |
193 | | * We have to lump transactions into buckets based on feerate, but we want to be able |
194 | | * to give accurate estimates over a large range of potential feerates |
195 | | * Therefore it makes sense to exponentially space the buckets |
196 | | */ |
197 | | static constexpr double FEE_SPACING = 1.05; |
198 | | |
199 | | const fs::path m_estimation_filepath; |
200 | | public: |
201 | | /** Create new BlockPolicyEstimator and initialize stats tracking classes with default values */ |
202 | | CBlockPolicyEstimator(const fs::path& estimation_filepath, const bool read_stale_estimates); |
203 | | virtual ~CBlockPolicyEstimator(); |
204 | | |
205 | | /** Process all the transactions that have been included in a block */ |
206 | | void processBlock(const std::vector<RemovedMempoolTransactionInfo>& txs_removed_for_block, |
207 | | unsigned int nBlockHeight) |
208 | | EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(!m_cs_fee_estimator); |
209 | | |
210 | | /** Process a transaction accepted to the mempool*/ |
211 | | void processTransaction(const NewMempoolTransactionInfo& tx) |
212 | | EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(!m_cs_fee_estimator); |
213 | | |
214 | | /** Remove a transaction from the mempool tracking stats for non BLOCK removal reasons*/ |
215 | | bool removeTx(uint256 hash) |
216 | | EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(!m_cs_fee_estimator); |
217 | | |
218 | | /** DEPRECATED. Return a feerate estimate */ |
219 | | CFeeRate estimateFee(int confTarget) const |
220 | | EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(!m_cs_fee_estimator); |
221 | | |
222 | | /** Estimate feerate needed to get be included in a block within confTarget |
223 | | * blocks. If no answer can be given at confTarget, return an estimate at |
224 | | * the closest target where one can be given. 'conservative' estimates are |
225 | | * valid over longer time horizons also. |
226 | | */ |
227 | | CFeeRate estimateSmartFee(int confTarget, FeeCalculation *feeCalc, bool conservative) const |
228 | | EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(!m_cs_fee_estimator); |
229 | | |
230 | | /** Return a specific fee estimate calculation with a given success |
231 | | * threshold and time horizon, and optionally return detailed data about |
232 | | * calculation |
233 | | */ |
234 | | CFeeRate estimateRawFee(int confTarget, double successThreshold, FeeEstimateHorizon horizon, |
235 | | EstimationResult* result = nullptr) const |
236 | | EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(!m_cs_fee_estimator); |
237 | | |
238 | | /** Write estimation data to a file */ |
239 | | bool Write(AutoFile& fileout) const |
240 | | EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(!m_cs_fee_estimator); |
241 | | |
242 | | /** Read estimation data from a file */ |
243 | | bool Read(AutoFile& filein) |
244 | | EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(!m_cs_fee_estimator); |
245 | | |
246 | | /** Empty mempool transactions on shutdown to record failure to confirm for txs still in mempool */ |
247 | | void FlushUnconfirmed() |
248 | | EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(!m_cs_fee_estimator); |
249 | | |
250 | | /** Calculation of highest target that estimates are tracked for */ |
251 | | unsigned int HighestTargetTracked(FeeEstimateHorizon horizon) const |
252 | | EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(!m_cs_fee_estimator); |
253 | | |
254 | | /** Drop still unconfirmed transactions and record current estimations, if the fee estimation file is present. */ |
255 | | void Flush() |
256 | | EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(!m_cs_fee_estimator); |
257 | | |
258 | | /** Record current fee estimations. */ |
259 | | void FlushFeeEstimates() |
260 | | EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(!m_cs_fee_estimator); |
261 | | |
262 | | /** Calculates the age of the file, since last modified */ |
263 | | std::chrono::hours GetFeeEstimatorFileAge(); |
264 | | |
265 | | protected: |
266 | | /** Overridden from CValidationInterface. */ |
267 | | void TransactionAddedToMempool(const NewMempoolTransactionInfo& tx, uint64_t /*unused*/) override |
268 | | EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(!m_cs_fee_estimator); |
269 | | void TransactionRemovedFromMempool(const CTransactionRef& tx, MemPoolRemovalReason /*unused*/, uint64_t /*unused*/) override |
270 | | EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(!m_cs_fee_estimator); |
271 | | void MempoolTransactionsRemovedForBlock(const std::vector<RemovedMempoolTransactionInfo>& txs_removed_for_block, unsigned int nBlockHeight) override |
272 | | EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(!m_cs_fee_estimator); |
273 | | |
274 | | private: |
275 | | mutable Mutex m_cs_fee_estimator; |
276 | | |
277 | | unsigned int nBestSeenHeight GUARDED_BY(m_cs_fee_estimator){0}; |
278 | | unsigned int firstRecordedHeight GUARDED_BY(m_cs_fee_estimator){0}; |
279 | | unsigned int historicalFirst GUARDED_BY(m_cs_fee_estimator){0}; |
280 | | unsigned int historicalBest GUARDED_BY(m_cs_fee_estimator){0}; |
281 | | |
282 | | struct TxStatsInfo |
283 | | { |
284 | | unsigned int blockHeight{0}; |
285 | | unsigned int bucketIndex{0}; |
286 | 0 | TxStatsInfo() = default; |
287 | | }; |
288 | | |
289 | | // map of txids to information about that transaction |
290 | | std::map<uint256, TxStatsInfo> mapMemPoolTxs GUARDED_BY(m_cs_fee_estimator); |
291 | | |
292 | | /** Classes to track historical data on transaction confirmations */ |
293 | | std::unique_ptr<TxConfirmStats> feeStats PT_GUARDED_BY(m_cs_fee_estimator); |
294 | | std::unique_ptr<TxConfirmStats> shortStats PT_GUARDED_BY(m_cs_fee_estimator); |
295 | | std::unique_ptr<TxConfirmStats> longStats PT_GUARDED_BY(m_cs_fee_estimator); |
296 | | |
297 | | unsigned int trackedTxs GUARDED_BY(m_cs_fee_estimator){0}; |
298 | | unsigned int untrackedTxs GUARDED_BY(m_cs_fee_estimator){0}; |
299 | | |
300 | | std::vector<double> buckets GUARDED_BY(m_cs_fee_estimator); // The upper-bound of the range for the bucket (inclusive) |
301 | | std::map<double, unsigned int> bucketMap GUARDED_BY(m_cs_fee_estimator); // Map of bucket upper-bound to index into all vectors by bucket |
302 | | |
303 | | /** Process a transaction confirmed in a block*/ |
304 | | bool processBlockTx(unsigned int nBlockHeight, const RemovedMempoolTransactionInfo& tx) EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(m_cs_fee_estimator); |
305 | | |
306 | | /** Helper for estimateSmartFee */ |
307 | | double estimateCombinedFee(unsigned int confTarget, double successThreshold, bool checkShorterHorizon, EstimationResult *result) const EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(m_cs_fee_estimator); |
308 | | /** Helper for estimateSmartFee */ |
309 | | double estimateConservativeFee(unsigned int doubleTarget, EstimationResult *result) const EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(m_cs_fee_estimator); |
310 | | /** Number of blocks of data recorded while fee estimates have been running */ |
311 | | unsigned int BlockSpan() const EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(m_cs_fee_estimator); |
312 | | /** Number of blocks of recorded fee estimate data represented in saved data file */ |
313 | | unsigned int HistoricalBlockSpan() const EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(m_cs_fee_estimator); |
314 | | /** Calculation of highest target that reasonable estimate can be provided for */ |
315 | | unsigned int MaxUsableEstimate() const EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(m_cs_fee_estimator); |
316 | | |
317 | | /** A non-thread-safe helper for the removeTx function */ |
318 | | bool _removeTx(const uint256& hash, bool inBlock) |
319 | | EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(m_cs_fee_estimator); |
320 | | }; |
321 | | |
322 | | class FeeFilterRounder |
323 | | { |
324 | | private: |
325 | | static constexpr double MAX_FILTER_FEERATE = 1e7; |
326 | | /** FEE_FILTER_SPACING is just used to provide some quantization of fee |
327 | | * filter results. Historically it reused FEE_SPACING, but it is completely |
328 | | * unrelated, and was made a separate constant so the two concepts are not |
329 | | * tied together */ |
330 | | static constexpr double FEE_FILTER_SPACING = 1.1; |
331 | | |
332 | | public: |
333 | | /** Create new FeeFilterRounder */ |
334 | | explicit FeeFilterRounder(const CFeeRate& min_incremental_fee, FastRandomContext& rng); |
335 | | |
336 | | /** Quantize a minimum fee for privacy purpose before broadcast. */ |
337 | | CAmount round(CAmount currentMinFee) EXCLUSIVE_LOCKS_REQUIRED(!m_insecure_rand_mutex); |
338 | | |
339 | | private: |
340 | | const std::set<double> m_fee_set; |
341 | | Mutex m_insecure_rand_mutex; |
342 | | FastRandomContext& insecure_rand GUARDED_BY(m_insecure_rand_mutex); |
343 | | }; |
344 | | |
345 | | #endif // BITCOIN_POLICY_FEES_H |